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Kinship, Marriage and the Family: Eight Time Series, 35000 B.C. to 2000 A.D

Program in Anthropology, Brandon University, Brandon, Manitoba, Canada R7A 6A9

This paper presents long-range time series for eight concepts of marriage, family and kinship. Each time series is, respectively, a time series of the probability of living in a society where: 1) the ultimate sovereign group is a kinship unit; 2) the ultimate sovereign kinship group is an indepen dent family; 3) the independent family is the predominant family form; 4) neolocal residence predominates; 5) bilateral kinship exists; 6) no consideration (or only bridal gifts) is given when obtaining a wife; 7) individuals have complete freedom to choose a spouse; and 8) where divorce occurs frequently. The method used to construct a time series of a probability that a discrete random variable X=x, x=1,2,... is conditioning on another discrete random variable Y, Y=1,2,3 which is observable both in the archaeological record and in an ethnographic cross-cultural data base. Conditional probabilities P(X=x |Y=y), x=1,2..., y=1,2,3 are obtained from the eth nographic cross-cultural data base. Uses for such time series are outlined.

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